Market Updates Amit Gupta November 12, 2026
In our earlier 2026 Redmond market update, built on data through June, we described a market that was becoming more selective. Since then, the shift has sped up. Mortgage rates climbed through September and October, homes are taking more than twice as long to go pending, and most Redmond homes are now selling below their list price. For buyers, that means real leverage. For sellers, it means pricing to today's market, not last spring's.
What changed since summer
✓ Mortgage rates rose from about 6.5% to a 7.40% peak in October, and are now easing
✓ Typical time to pending more than doubled, from about 20 days to 44
✓ Nearly three out of four Redmond homes sold below list price in September
Zillow's data through October 31, 2026 shows a Redmond market that has moved firmly toward buyers. Prices are lower than a year ago, homes are sitting longer, and sellers are negotiating more often.
Here is how the numbers in our earlier update compare with the latest figures:
Metric | Summer update | Fall update |
|---|---|---|
Typical home value (Zillow) | $1.36M (June 30) | $1.27M (Oct 31) |
Change over the past year | Down 4.1% | Down 5.0% |
Homes for sale | 324 | 351 |
Typical time to pending | About 20 days | 44 days |
Median sale-to-list ratio | 99.5% | 97.5% (Sept 30) |
30-year mortgage rate (Freddie Mac) | 6.49% (June 25) | 7.11% (Nov 12) |
Sources: Zillow Home Value Index and market data for Redmond, WA; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Zillow revises its figures over time, so the summer column shows what we reported then.
The biggest change since summer wasn't in Redmond. It was in borrowing costs. Freddie Mac's 30-year average sat near 6.5% for much of the summer, then climbed to 7.40% in the weeks of October 8 and 15, its highest weekly average in more than a year. Rates have now eased for four straight weeks, to 7.11% as of November 12.
For a sense of scale, on a $1,000,000 loan, the monthly principal and interest is about $6,314 at 6.49% and about $6,727 at 7.11%, roughly $413 more each month. In a city where typical values sit well above $1 million, that difference changes how much home many buyers can comfortably afford, and it explains why buyers have slowed down.
Illustration only: principal and interest on a 30-year fixed loan, excluding taxes and insurance. Freddie Mac's survey reflects conforming loans, and jumbo rates and your own rate will differ.
In September, about 73% of Redmond sales closed below list price and fewer than 9% sold above it, according to Zillow. The typical home now takes about 44 days to go pending, compared with about 20 days in June.
That does not mean sellers are giving homes away. The median sale still landed at about 97.5% of list price. What it does mean is that the gap between well-priced homes and overpriced ones is wider than it has been in years. Homes priced to the current market still sell. Homes priced to last spring's comparable sales tend to sit, and then need a price reduction.
Typical days to pending in Redmond: more than doubled
June 2026: about 20 days
October 2026: 44 days
Source: Zillow market data for Redmond, WA.
Redmond is following the wider region. In its October 2026 Market Snapshot, the Northwest Multiple Listing Service reported 23,519 active listings across its service area, up 25.2% from October 2025. At October's pace of sales, NWMLS estimated it would take about 4.41 months to sell every listed home, up from 3.02 months a year earlier. A balanced market is generally considered to have four to six months of inventory, so the region as a whole has moved into balanced territory.
🏡 For Buyers
This fall gives you room to:
✓ Tour several homes before deciding
✓ Ask for seller credits toward closing costs
✓ Ask the seller to fund a rate buydown
✓ Keep your inspection contingency
✓ Target homes that have been listed 30+ days
✓ Refinance later if rates keep falling
🔑 For Sellers
The homes still selling well:
✓ Are priced to fall in line with comparable sales
✓ Launch move-in ready, with strong photos
✓ Get the most attention in the first two weeks
✓ Offer a buydown credit instead of a deep price cut
✓ Stand out from nearby competing listings
✓ Be flexible on timing and terms
One important nuance: a seller-paid rate buydown can lower a buyer's monthly payment more than an equal price reduction would. In a rate-driven market, it is often worth comparing both before deciding how to negotiate.
Wondering what your Redmond home is worth this fall?
Get a value based on today's comparable sales and competing listings, not last spring's.
For buyers with a long-term plan, late fall and winter can be one of the better windows of the year. Sellers who are still listed in November and December are often motivated, and fewer buyers are out shopping. NWMLS noted that active listings were lower in October than in September, which is typical as the season winds down.
Waiting for spring may bring more listings, but it also usually brings more buyers. The leverage you have today may not be there in March.
A strong buyer strategy right now starts with a solid pre-approval, a clear monthly payment target, and a list of homes that have been on the market long enough for the seller to be flexible.
It depends on your timeline and your home. Listing now means less competition from other sellers and more motivated buyers. Waiting for spring usually means more buyers, but also more competing listings, and no guarantee that rates will be lower.
If you list this fall or winter, three steps matter most:
The strongest listing campaigns are planned before the home goes live.
Thinking about buying near transit? Read why the homes you can buy near Redmond's light rail are so few.
Yes, modestly. Zillow's typical Redmond home value was about $1.27 million at the end of October 2026, down 5.0% from a year earlier. Individual homes vary widely by neighborhood, condition, and price range.
The typical Redmond home took about 44 days to go pending as of October 2026, according to Zillow, more than double the roughly 20 days we reported for June. Well-priced, move-in-ready homes still sell faster.
Often, yes. About 73% of Redmond sales closed below list price in September 2026. Homes on the market longer usually offer the most room to negotiate on price, credits, or repairs.
Yes. A seller credit can be used toward a rate buydown, subject to your loan program's limits. Depending on the numbers, it can lower your monthly payment more than an equal price reduction. Ask your lender to compare both.
Not necessarily. Spring usually brings more buyers, but also more competing listings. If your home is ready and priced for today's market, listing now can mean less competition. The right choice depends on your timeline and your home.
Redmond & Greater Seattle Eastside
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This article is for general informational purposes only and is not legal, tax, or financial advice. Market data from Zillow (home values and inventory through October 31, 2026; sale-to-list figures through September 30, 2026), Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey (November 12, 2026), and the NWMLS October 2026 Market Snapshot. Conditions vary by property and change over time. Equal Housing Opportunity.
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Market Updates
Redmond Real Estate | Nov 12, 2026
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